Odd vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
BBS
1 - 1
ODD
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ODD
0 - 0
LYN
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BOG
0 - 2
ODD
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ODD
2 - 0
STB
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ODD
2 - 4
BOG
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2004 |
FFK
2 - 2
VIF
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MFK
0 - 1
FFK
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FFK
0 - 2
RBK
20%
20%
60%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LSK
2 - 0
FFK
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FFK
4 - 1
OSO
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |