OCPAM vs Iris Club de Croix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+629%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
14º
13º
7
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OCPAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 0
OCP
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Iris Club de Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 0
DIE
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IRI
0 - 1
FEI
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IRI
4 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 1
IRI
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IRI
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |