O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
YOO
1 - 1
OKF
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OKF
2 - 2
TUG
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
1 - 2
MFC
6%
10%
84%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
OKF
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUG
1 - 2
OKF
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COO
2 - 3
CAN
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
GUN
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
YOO
0 - 3
CAN
6%
11%
83%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 1
COO
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |