Ockero vs Astrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
13º
13º
54
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ockero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
LIS
0 - 0
OCK
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
OCK
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCK
5 - 0
JON
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 2
SAV
26%
21%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
OCK
85%
9%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AST
5 - 1
FRO
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AST
3 - 1
LIS
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAH
1 - 2
AST
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
BIK
77%
14%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
QVI
4 - 3
AST
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |