Ukrainian Premier League Promotion Final
Global 2-1
Obolon vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obolon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 3
PFC
26%
28%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 1
OBO
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
RYV
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 0
LNZ
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 0
OBO
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
FED
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 3
LIV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRY
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
LIV
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 2
FNB
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |