Obod vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
FKL
1 - 1
OBO
63%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
OBO
3 - 0
NAV
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUN
3 - 0
OBO
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
OBO
1 - 1
MET
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
QIZ
4 - 1
OBO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NEF
3 - 1
OLM
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
2 - 1
NEF
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
NEF
1 - 2
MAS
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
SOG
1 - 0
NEF
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
NEF
1 - 2
AND
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |