Oberwart vs FCM Traiskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
8º
19
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 1
OBE
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
MAU
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
OBE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
ELE
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
OBE
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FCM Traiskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
5 - 1
FCM
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
FCM
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DON
1 - 1
FCM
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
SCW
1 - 1
FCM
44%
22%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |