Oberwart vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 1
OBE
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
6 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
STG
0 - 1
OBE
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
3 - 2
PUR
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JEN
2 - 0
OBE
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
DRA
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
STM
4 - 0
STG
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
STM
4 - 3
EBE
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
PUR
1 - 3
STM
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |