Oberwart vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JEN
2 - 0
OBE
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
OBE
0 - 0
DEU
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
OBE
36%
26%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
OBE
0 - 1
PIN
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
EBE
0 - 0
OBE
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
PUR
0 - 1
DRA
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
PUR
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 0
STG
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 4
PUR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
GUS
1 - 4
PUR
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |