Oberwart vs Mauerwerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
8º
13
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
OBE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
ELE
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
OBE
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 0
FAV
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 0
AUS
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 3
KRE
36%
24%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
5 - 0
MAU
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 3
NEU
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
MAU
2 - 3
WIE
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DON
2 - 2
MAU
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |