Oberwart vs Austria Wien II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
16º
16º
8
1º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberwart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 1
OBE
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
MAN
14%
20%
67%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 1
OBE
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
DON
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIE
2 - 2
OBE
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 3
NEU
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 0
AUS
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
WIE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
AUS
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
SCW
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |