Oberneuland vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
4 - 5
OBE
30%
20%
50%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 3
SGA
65%
18%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
OBE
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
UNI
74%
14%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 4
OBE
10%
14%
77%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 1
WER
79%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
7 - 1
WER
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
BRI
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
3 - 0
WER
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |