Oberneuland vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
5º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAT
1 - 3
OBE
10%
13%
77%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
TKA
85%
10%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
TRB
74%
14%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 4
OBE
29%
19%
52%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 4
WOL
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 2
WOL
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAB
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 1
VAB
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
VAB
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -4 |