Oberneuland vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
5º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
TRB
74%
14%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 4
OBE
29%
19%
52%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 4
WOL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
OSC
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 5
TKA
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OSC
3 - 0
TKA
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 1
SGA
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
TKA
75%
15%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TKA
4 - 0
BRI
21%
18%
61%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |