Oberneuland vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
OBE
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 3
OBE
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 3
BLU
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 2
OBE
20%
19%
61%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 3
BRE
33%
22%
46%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 2
VFL
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BLU
0 - 0
SGA
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SGA
0 - 7
BRI
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
6 - 0
SGA
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SGA
4 - 1
OSC
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |