Oberneuland vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
31%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WER
0 - 6
OBE
11%
15%
75%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 2
GEE
60%
18%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
10 - 0
WOL
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
4 - 1
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
BTN
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
1 - 1
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 3
OSC
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
2 - 2
BRI
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TSS
1 - 4
OSC
57%
18%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |