Oberneuland vs Leher TS Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
28
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
OBE
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 4
HAN
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
DRO
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
OBE
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OBE
3 - 1
HEI
56%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LEH
1 - 2
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
WER
2 - 3
LEH
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
OSC
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEH
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |