Oberneuland vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
5º
44
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 5
OBE
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 5
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
UNI
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 2
OBE
25%
20%
56%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 3
VAT
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 8
SVH
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 5
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
BLU
57%
19%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 1
GEE
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 1
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |