Oberneuland vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 2
HAM
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
OBE
39%
22%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 2
VFL
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WER
3 - 3
OBE
48%
22%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 2
OBE
23%
21%
56%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
51%
22%
27%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
BVB
11%
20%
69%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BVB
5 - 2
BYM
32%
25%
43%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BVB
4 - 0
SCF
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KAI
2 - 5
BVB
13%
22%
65%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |