Oberneuland vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
15º
6º
7
9º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 1
OBE
39%
20%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 3
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
OBE
31%
19%
50%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
BLU
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 2
WER
63%
17%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAB
2 - 2
BLU
27%
20%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 4
OSC
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 9
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 85 | 52 | -1 |