Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
DRE
1 - 3
OBE
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
OBE
0 - 0
SON
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CZJ
0 - 1
OBE
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
OBE
0 - 1
LOK
19%
25%
56%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 0
OBE
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 2
ENE
26%
27%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
FLH
1 - 1
FCH
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 1
SAC
18%
26%
56%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
PLA
3 - 0
FCH
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 2
FAD
39%
26%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |