Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Oberena vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ZAM
3 - 0
OBE
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LLE
3 - 0
OBE
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
OBE
1 - 0
GDE
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
TUD
2 - 0
OBE
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
OBE
0 - 0
COL
30%
29%
41%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
LEV
1 - 0
LLE
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LLE
3 - 0
OBE
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LLE
1 - 0
ALC
42%
29%
29%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ONT
3 - 2
LLE
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
LLE
0 - 0
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |