Oberena vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 2
OBE
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 0
HUA
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SJU
1 - 0
OBE
68%
21%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 1
LAG
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OSA
3 - 1
OBE
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDC
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 2
CDB
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
HUA
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SJU
2 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |