Oberena vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 3
OBE
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 2
OBE
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
PEN
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 0
OBE
17%
21%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
INJ
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LOU
4 - 1
LAG
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOU
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
MUT
67%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 0
LOU
37%
23%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
CDI
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |