Oberena vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
AOI
1 - 0
OBE
42%
27%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
BUR
56%
24%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 1
OBE
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
OBE
2 - 1
HUA
50%
26%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
OBE
48%
26%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
ALU
5 - 0
CDA
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SJU
1 - 1
ALU
39%
28%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ALU
1 - 0
VAL
28%
27%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALU
29%
27%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ALU
3 - 1
ART
66%
21%
13%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |