Obercorn vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UKT
2 - 3
OBE
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
OBE
0 - 0
YBD
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MON
2 - 4
OBE
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
OBE
2 - 1
USM
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ERP
4 - 3
USM
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
USM
2 - 2
KOE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
RUM
1 - 0
USM
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USM
0 - 3
USH
30%
25%
46%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
OBE
2 - 1
USM
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |