Obercorn vs Una Strassen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CSM
2 - 2
OBE
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 0
LUN
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FFN
3 - 0
OBE
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OBE
2 - 2
MAM
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
6 - 1
OBE
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Una Strassen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
USM
3 - 2
UNA
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UNA
1 - 5
CSP
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNA
2 - 1
VIC
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MON
4 - 4
UNA
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UNA
3 - 1
ETZ
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |