Obercorn vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
81.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EGR
0 - 5
OBE
7%
10%
83%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
OBE
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
KOE
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 3
CBG
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
OBE
11 - 1
FCS
67%
16%
17%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 4
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BET
1 - 2
LOR
34%
23%
44%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
RES
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USH
3 - 1
LOR
22%
21%
58%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 1
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |