Obercorn vs Avenir Beggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
OBE
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 5
OBE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OBE
0 - 2
USH
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
OBE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OBE
2 - 1
ERP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 3
STE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 2
JEU
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MLI
1 - 1
AVE
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 1
JEU
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
STE
3 - 4
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |