Oberachern vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 3
OBE
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 1
RAV
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 3
OBE
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 0
NOR
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
OBE
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
4 - 3
FSV
14%
18%
68%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
GOP
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |