Oberachern vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 3
OBE
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 1
RAV
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 3
OBE
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 0
NOR
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
OBE
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
4 - 3
FSV
14%
18%
68%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
GOP
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
TSV
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
VIL
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |