Oberachern vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
13º
6º
45
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 0
OBE
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
4 - 1
FRE
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SVS
6 - 1
OBE
83%
13%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
SGS
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
REU
1 - 1
OBE
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TSB
3 - 1
NOT
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 4
BIS
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 4
NOT
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 1
NOT
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
FRE
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |