Oberachern vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
KSC
0 - 0
OBE
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 1
HOL
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
4 - 1
OBE
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 1
HEI
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 1
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 3
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRU
0 - 2
NOT
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 1
VFR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 1
STU
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |