Oberachern vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
48
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
OBE
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 3
SGS
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 1
OBE
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 0
DEN
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
OBE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
FSV
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
GOP
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TSB
1 - 1
NOR
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
VIL
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |