Oberachern vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
4 - 1
OBE
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 1
HEI
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 1
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OBE
0 - 2
VFR
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
OBE
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 2
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRU
5 - 2
HOL
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 2
VFR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
HOL
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 2
STU
48%
23%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |