Oberachern vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
49
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATS
4 - 4
OBE
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 2
GOP
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 0
TSB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
OBE
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 0
TSV
81%
12%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 4
ATS
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 2
GOP
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TSB
4 - 3
FSV
42%
22%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
4 - 1
VIL
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
4 - 3
FSV
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -2 |