Oberachern vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
13º
6º
48
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
3 - 1
OBE
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 2
RAV
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
OBE
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PFO
0 - 2
OBE
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 4
TSB
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
0 - 3
PFO
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TSB
3 - 2
FSV
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 3
BIS
41%
21%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 1
FSV
60%
18%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FSV
2 - 0
FCH
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |