Oberachern vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
OBE
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PFO
4 - 3
OBE
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OBE
0 - 4
NEC
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
GOP
3 - 1
OBE
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
OBE
3 - 0
OFF
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 1
PFO
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
NEC
3 - 1
FRE
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 3
SAN
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
SVS
17%
21%
63%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 1
FRE
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |