Oberachern vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 4
OBE
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OBE
3 - 3
FRE
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
3 - 2
OBE
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OBE
2 - 6
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 1
REU
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 2
KEH
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAV
5 - 2
FRE
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
PFO
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BIS
1 - 0
FRE
19%
19%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
KSC
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |