Oberachern vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
36
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
OBE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 2
PFO
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 5
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
OBE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 2
FSV
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 2
DEN
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
GOP
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |