Oberachern vs CfR Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
7º
18
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 1
OBE
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
4 - 1
FCV
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 0
OBE
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
VFR
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 3
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 1
PFO
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 0
TSB
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
PFO
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |