Oberachern vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
41
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 2
SCF
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 86 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
GOP
4 - 1
OBE
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 0
NEC
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FSV
0 - 3
OBE
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 4
ATS
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 3
FSV
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 4
ATS
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 1
RAV
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 4
ATS
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 2
PFO
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |