Oberachern vs 1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
13º
6º
37
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
OFF
0 - 0
OBE
32%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 2
OBE
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
FSV
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
3 - 1
OBE
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 2
RAV
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 2
PFO
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
1FC
2 - 5
TSB
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 4
1FC
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 1
NOT
30%
21%
49%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
6 - 3
1FC
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |