Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAF
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALE
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 1
CAÑ
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ALE
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 1
CAÑ
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |