Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
14º
13º
19
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 16 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 12 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
9.5% | 100% |
|
Final Series
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 3
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 0
ALE
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CDT
6 - 0
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 0
TEM
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
UDG
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
UAT
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 2
UDG
21%
27%
53%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |