Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
UAP
1 - 1
ALE
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAF
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALE
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
CIM
3 - 0
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
UDG
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |