Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
AUR
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ATL
0 - 1
AUR
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 2
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |