Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 3
AUR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
CAF
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 1
ALE
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAF
1 - 0
ALE
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
UDG
19%
28%
52%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
UDG
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
5 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UDG
2 - 0
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
CIM
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |