Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 3
ALE
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALE
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
CAF
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 0
ALE
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
JAG
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
MOR
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
MOR
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |