Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
14º
11º
10
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 30 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 23 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 20 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 17 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 13 |
15º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
16% | 45% |
|
Final Series
|
33% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 0
ALE
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CDT
6 - 0
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
CFC
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 0
ALE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
MER
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |