Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
14º
13º
21
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
UAT
7 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CIM
4 - 2
ALE
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
TOR
27%
29%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
ALE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
UDG
5 - 0
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MER
4 - 3
UAT
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
UDG
4 - 1
MER
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 1
MER
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |